The Economist has mapped President Trump’s approval rating in each state, and the results look bleak for the president and the Republican Party ahead of next year’s midterm elections. Drawing on data from YouGov polling, The Economist finds that Trump holds a positive net approval rating in only 11 states.
In its cartogram of Donald Trump's Approval Rating, the magazine shows that the president enjoys double-digit positive approval in just three states — Idaho, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Conversely, in 39 states and in Washington, D.C., Trump has a negative approval rating, and in 11 of those his disapproval exceeds approval by more than 30 percentage points.
This Strength in Numbers interactive map of Trump's Net Approval Rating in Each State shows a slightly better picture for the president.
One reason it looks different from The Economist’s approval map is that it doesn’t rely on new state-by-state polls. Instead, it models estimates for each state by:
- starting with Trump’s 2024 presidential vote margin in that state,
- comparing his 2024 national vote margin with his current national net approval,
- then shifting every state’s 2024 result by that same national swing.
A separate Strength in Numbers chart shows 53.8% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s performance while 42% approve, giving him a net approval of -11.8 points (about 12 points under water). The map uses that -11.8-point national figure to adjust the 2024 election results and estimate his current net approval rating in each state. The map would look a little different using The Economist's -17% approval rating.
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