This Strength in Numbers interactive map of Trump's Net Approval Rating in Each State shows a slightly better picture for the president.
One reason it looks different from The Economist’s approval map is that it doesn’t rely on new state-by-state polls. Instead, it models estimates for each state by:
- starting with Trump’s 2024 presidential vote margin in that state,
- comparing his 2024 national vote margin with his current national net approval,
- then shifting every state’s 2024 result by that same national swing.
A separate Strength in Numbers chart shows 53.8% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s performance while 42% approve, giving him a net approval of -11.8 points (about 12 points under water). The map uses that -11.8-point national figure to adjust the 2024 election results and estimate his current net approval rating in each state. The map would look a little different using The Economist's -17% approval rating.