If you are planning on attending or organizing an event in the USA then you might want to refer to the COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool. This interactive mapping tool can tell you the risk that someone with Covid-19 will be at an event, given the event's size and location.
Let's say for the sake of argument that you've been invited to a large family dinner on the 26th November in Norton County, Kansas. If there are ten family members at that dinner then there is a 94% chance that at least one person at the dinner will be Covid-19 positive.
Obviously the more people who attend an event then the larger the odds that there will be someone who has Covid-19. The Covid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool allows you to select the number of people expected to attend an event (from 10 to 5,000). Once you select the estimated number of people attending the event counties on the map will be colored to show the risk level in each county.
The Covid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool doesn't only work for U.S. counties. You can also use the tool to discover the risk levels of someone attending an event being positive of Covid-19 in a number of different European countries.
The only way to guarantee a 0% percent chance of catching Covid-19 is by not attending any events.
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